Danny's Tech: Where West and East Intersect

Friday, October 27, 2006

Everlasting Tech Boom?

Fortune has: "This tech boom has legs: For several reasons - especially growing demand in developing countries - tech's run most probably will last many years."

Let's take their two points apart:

"First, everybody wants technology." Just because they want or desire tech, it doesn't mean people can afford to. Not just the developing nation but developed ones too. For example, yours truly would love to buy a new computer [especially one with virtualization hardware built in to play with full virtualization], now that Fedora Core 6 is released with Xen support. Unfortunately, we had to spend a lot of our savings to move and settle down in SoCal. So no tech purchases for a while!

"And second, technology has become radically easier to create." I don't think so. Some things have improved [ipod is a good example: I use it every weekday on my walking commute to/from work] but computers are so hard to use still. Just today, I had to reinstall wifi driver to restore network access to my notebook. What a pain since I had to try to restore system few times to make sure something else didn't go wrong. Probably wasted about one hour of my time. Software is all wrong: not only is it buggy but also hard to use -- I'm not talking about specific GUI but the basics like having to explicitly save files or not having infinite undo/redo.

With the economy tanking, both developing and developed nations will struggle to continue the tech growth. And until things become so easy that people "have to have it" (like the ipods), it won't take off in the way that will continue growing.

Copyright 2006, DannyHSDad, All Rights Reserved.

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