Danny's Tech: Where West and East Intersect

Saturday, September 08, 2007

Future of Virtualization

Now that VMware has gone IPO and XenSource bought by Citrix, virtualization has made it to the financial press. However, the future isn't so clear since there are other players like Microsoft with their Viridian and System Center Virtual Machine Manager 2007 (SCVMM07) [which will support Xen and VMware in the future] and smaller companies like Virtual Iron Software.

And don't forget the granddaddy of them all: IBM. They have released at least 2 public versions of their hypervisor: rHype and sHype (via Xen). Since they have been at it for few decades on their mainframes and workstations, you can be sure they have both the depth and the breadth in understanding virtualization.

With all that written, virtualization "out in the wild" is rather a new phenomenon. The x86 virtualization hardware like Intel's Vanderpool and AMD's Pacifica came out in large volume in 2006 and even today people are still trying to figure out what it means and how best to use virtualization.

This is like the web in 1995, when Netscape IPO'd. Internet was around before browsers but the momentum started with Netscape browser in 1994. Microsoft piled on with Internet Explorer, and many others joined the race (like Opera and Apple's Safari). Today, Netscape morphed into Mozilla with Firefox browser. And Google rules the web "world."

So, 12 years from now, it's hard to say what virtualization would look like. I believe that there will be many shakeouts along with new comers to usurp the current front runners. And as with the web winners [of 2007] (like Google, Ebay, Amazon and Myspace), I personally won't place any specific bets on where virtualization will lead to in the future...for now....

Copyright 2007, DannyHSDad, All Rights Reserved.

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